Keith Markus' Urban Sprawl


 
STA250
Course Information (S98)
Exam Results (S98)
Final Grades (S98)
Syllablus
Exam One Distribution
Section 05 Grades
Schedule
Exam Two Distribution
Section 09 Grades
STUDSTAT email list information 
 Exam Three Distribution
 
 
Exam Four Distribution
 
Back Links
 Exam Five Distribution
 
Note:  Minor changes may be made in the syllabus or schedule.
The course materials, however, will not change.

Syllabus:

STA250
Principles and Methods of Statistics
Dr. Markus, Spring 1998

Section Time Room
STA250.05 M, W 12:30-1:45 4100N
STA250.09 T, TH 1:55-3:10 2437N

Purpose:  The purpose of this course is to provide an understanding of the basic use of statistics in social-science research.  This is not a mathematics course, and the focus will not be on computations.  Rather, the focus will be on thinking statistically.  Statistical thinking involves drawing sensible conclusions from various kinds of data by applying and interpreting appropriate statistics.  This is a basic requirement for both doing social science research and for becoming an educated consumer of such research.  The course will, however, require solving basic mathematical problems.  MAT108 or MAT141 is required.

Texts:  Moore, D. S. (1995).  The Basic Practice of Statistics.  New York:  W. H. Freeman.

Natz, W & Busam, R. L. (1995).  Study Guide for Moore's The Basic Practice of Statistics.  New York:  W. H. Freeman.

Gonick, L. & Smith, W. (1993).  The Cartoon Guide to Statistics.  New York:  Harper-Collins Publishers.

Note:  Moore (1995) is the primary text, and will most closely follow the lectures.  The other two books are intended as supplementary reading to help clarify the material.

Calculator:  A calculator that does two-variable statistics (a.k.a. correlation & regression) is required.  You may choose another calculator (e.g., Casio VPLM Fx 115S), but I have ordered the Sharp EL-506L through the book store.  Note:  you have to ask for the calculator at the checkout.  Calculators are generally also available at retail stores such as Staples and The Wiz.

Grading:  There will be five (5) exams.  Your four (4) highest grades will each count as 25% of your final grade. It is recommended that you take all five exams.  Letter grades are given strictly according to the chart on page 36 of the Undergraduate Bulletin.  Lobbying will not affect your grade.  I do not give grades of incomplete (INC).

Typing of Exams:  All answers to take home examinations must be typed.  It is acceptable to write in special characters (e.g., µ, m, s, S, ¹, ³, £, Þ, Ö, and such) by hand.  It is also acceptable to draw charts and tables by hand.  Other than that, everything must be typed.

 Late Exams:  Exams are due in class at the beginning of the class indicated for the section in which you are registered.  Late exams will not be accepted for a grade.  There will be no make-up exams.  Exams will not be accepted other than in person (e.g., no exams slipped under my door, placed in my mailbox, or mailed to me).  I will allow a ten-minute grace period at the beginning of class, but do not press your luck.  If you think that you may be late, turn your examination in ahead of time during class or during office hours.

Cheating on Exams:  I offer take-home examinations in this course for two reasons:  First, they allow you more time to review material, work out the answers, and check your work.  Second, they allow more time in class for lecture and review.  In return, I have to be able to count on you to keep the trust and do your own work.  A few people attempting to take advantage of the rest of us can spoil it for everyone.  As a result, clear evidence of cheating will result in an automatic "F" grade for the course.

Extra credit:  You can earn extra credit toward the next exam by turning in odd numbered section exercises in the class immediately following the class in which the material is covered.  Do not confuse these with "exercises" or "chapter exercises."  You can check your work against answers given in the back of the book, but you have to show how you got the answers to get credit.  Extra credit homework need not be typed.  Hand written answers are both acceptable and expected.  Nevertheless, neatness is also expected.

Attendance:  Attendance will not directly affect your grade.  If you miss class regularly, however, you will probably fail the exams.  Also, I am required to keep an attendance record and this can affect financial aid.

Requirements:  To pass the course, you are required to take at least three (3) exams and earn a passing grade.  Missing more than two (2) exams will result in  an "F" grade.

Office hours:  W 2-2:30 PM & Th 3:30-4PM, Room 2428N

Office Phone:  (212) 237-8795

Email:  KMarkus@AOL.COM

Course Information, Grades, etc.:  http://members.aol.com/KMarkus

Posting of Grades:  I do not post grades on my door.  Why?  Because I think that you should know more than just your final grade and when I tried to post additional information on my door it disappeared in a matter of hours.  At this point you should all be able to go to a library and use a Web browser.  (My Mom went to her local library to check my Web site.  If she could do that, so can you.)  Final grades, along with final exam grades, will be posted at the course Web page accessible through the above URL.

 If you are totally freaked about this, give me a stamped self-addressed envelope and I will mail you your grade.  If you want your final exam back, you can pick it up at my office, or give me a stamped self-addressed envelope with sufficient postage for your exam paper.  Please do not ask the Department Secretary for your grade.

Schedule
M,W     T,Th    Topics

M 2/2   T 2/3   Introduction to course.  Data.  Statistics.

W 2/4   TH 2/5  Graphing distributions.  Book Introduction,* Chapter 1 Introduction, Part 1.1, Gonick & Smith (G&S) Chapter 1

M 2/9   T 2/10  Describing distributions with numbers.  Part 1.2, G&S Chapter 2

W 2/11  T 2/17  Normal distributions.  Part 1.3, G&S Chapter 4

M 2/16  TH 2/12 College closed for Washington's & Lincoln's birthdays.

W 2/18  TH 2/19 Review & questions.  Exam One Distributed.  Studyguide: Chapter 1

M 2/23  T 2/24  Categorical Data.  Chapter 2 Introduction, Part 2.5

W 2/25  TH 2/26 Exam One Due; Scatterplots.  Part 2.1

M 3/2   T 3/3   Correlation.  Part 2.2, G&S Chapter 11

W 3/4   TH 3/5  Correlation continued.  Part 2.3

M 3/9   T 3/10  Regression.  Part 2.4

W 3/11  TH 3/12 Regression continued.

M 3/16  T 3/17  Review & questions.  Exam Two Distributed. Studyguide: Chapter 2

W 3/18  TH 3/19 Sampling distributions.  Chapter 4 Introduction, Part 4.1, G&S Chapter 3, 5 & 6

M 3/23  T 3/24  Exam Two Due; Sampling distributions continued.

W 3/25  TH 3/26 Sample proportions.  Part 4.3

M 3/30  T 3/31  Sample proportions continued.

W 4/1   TH 4/2  Sample means.  Part 4.5  4/1 last day to resign without academic penalty.

M 4/6   T 4/7   Review & questions.  Exam Three Distributed. Studyguide: Chapter 4

W 4/8           Friday schedule.

M 4/13  T 4/14  Spring Recess.

W 4/15  TH 4/16 Spring Recess.

M 4/20  TH 4/9  Confidence intervals.  Chapter 5 Introduction, Part 5.1, G&S Chapter 7

W 4/22  T 4/21  Exam Three Due; Confidence intervals continued.

M 4/27  TH 4/23 Significance tests.  Part 5.2, G&S Chapter 8

W 4/29  T 4/28  Significance tests continued.

M 5/4   TH 4/30 Interpreting significance tests.  Part 5.3

W 5/6   T 5/5   Review & questions.  Exam Four Distributed. Studyguide: Chapter 5

M 5/11  TH 5/7  Inference about a population mean.  Chapter 6 Introduction, Part 6.1

W 5/13  T 5/12  Exam Four Due; Inference about a population mean continued.

M 5/18  TH 5/14 Comparing two means.  Part 6.2, G&S Chapter 9

W 5/20  T 5/19  Review & questions.  Exam Five Distributed. Studyguide: Chapter 6, G&S Chapter 12

W 5/27/98 (Noon - 2pm)  T 5/26/98 (12:30-2:30)  Exam Five Due.  (Final Exam week.)

*Readings are from text except where indicated as Studyguide.
STUDSTAT Email List Information

I continue to get positive feedback about this email list. The list in intended for students who are studying statistics. It is a "safe" environment in which you can ask questions, discuss problems, or just lurk and learn from other people's conversation. To subscribe to the list, send an email message to:

listserv@asuvm.inre.asu.edu

containing the following:

subscribe STUDSTAT [your first name] [your last name]
inside the body of the email (not in the subject). The subscribe command and the STUDSTAT name should be typed as is. Your first and last name should be substituted for the phrases in brackets. Do not use brackets in your message.

After you subscribe, you should receive a message back with further information about using the email list.

Exam One Distribution

The following stem-and-leaf plot gives the distribution of grades on Exam One for both sections together. The grades are expressed as a percent. The percents include extra credit and are out of a maximum 30 points on the exam. (There were several perfect papers.) Two exams which were turned in late received a grade of zero and are not included in the distribution. One paper, included below, received a three point deduction because it was not typed.  See syllabus for letter-grade equivalents.

11 | 0

10 | 7 8

10 | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 3 3 3 3

 9 | 7 7 7 8

 9 | 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3

 8 | 7 7 7

 8 | 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 

 7 | 

 7 | 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3

 6 | 5 7

 6 | 0 0 0 3 3

 5 | 7 7 7

 5 | 

 4 | 8

 4 | 3

 3 |

 3 |

 2 |

 2 |

 1 |

 1 | 

 0 |

 0 |

Exam Two Distribution
    You surprised me on this one.  As a whole, you aced the "hard" regression question, but many more of you stumbled on the "easy" two-way cross-tabulation problem.  For those of you wondering about your grade, here is an acid test:  (1) Did your grand total (lower right-hand corner) sum to 20 or some number other than 10?  If so, your raw score is probably 19/30 at best.  (2) Did you do your homework?  If so, you have a shot at as much as an 80% even if you messed up on (1).  Some of you have yet to benefit from realizing the value of keeping up with your homework.  In sum, the quick calculation is that you are probably in trouble if you both messed up question one and did not do homework.

    There were 51 papers turned in.  With both peaks of the bimodal distribution in the "A" range, and only three failing papers, the overall performance on this examination was not bad, despite the difficulties with question one.  Historically, somewhat lower grades on this examination are not uncommon, probably attributable to the fact that it comes at midterm time.  The distribution also contains one paper that was penalized 3 points for not typing.

    Here is the distribution:

11 |3 3 3 3 3 3 7 7
11 |0 0
10 |7
10 |0 0 3 3 3
09 |7 7 7
09 |0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3
08 |5 7
08 |0 0 0 0 0
07 |7 7 7
07 |0 0 3 3
06 |7 7 7 8
06 |0 0 2
05 |7 8
05 |0
04 |
04 |
03 |
03 |
02 |
02 |
 
 

Exam Three Distribution
    This exam is the most bimodal so far for the semester.  This is largely of function of the difference between the two questions.  Question one was sufficiently mechanical that many people who were not entirely clear on the material still managed to provide a complete answer and earn full credit.  Question two, on the other hand, was sufficiently conceptual that it could not be answered without understanding the material.  Unfortunately, however, it also reflects a fair number of students who seem to have read too much into the questions, perhaps not believing that I would ask such a simple and straight forward question as I did, and ended up loosing credit when they probably understood the material.  Nevertheless, there were many perfect and near-perfect (that last point was elusive) papers in both classes, and the percent passing is still high.
 

11 | 0
10 | 5 7 7 7 7
10 | 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3
09 | 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 8
09 | 0 0 2 3 3
08 | 7
08 | 0 0 0 0 3
07 | 7
07 | 0 0 3
06 | 5 7 7 7 8
06 | 0 0 3 3 3
05 | 7 7
05 | 0 3
04 |
04 | 0 3
03 |
03 | 0 3 3
02 |
02 |
01 |
01 |
00 |
00 |

Exam Four Distribution

    Here is the Exam Four distribution.  The grades are good with several perfect papers and relatively few failing grades.  When I return the papers they will also have a "Grade So Far" which is the mean of the first four test grades.  Notice that taking the average of the grades on your papers will not be exactly the same due to rounding error.  The GSF is the correct mean, and is translated to a letter grade in accordance with the table in the Undergraduate Bulletin.
 

11|
11|0 0 0 0
10|7 7 7 8 8 8
10|0 0 0 0 2 3 3 3 5
09|5 7 7 8 8
09|0 0 0 0 0 0 3
08|5 7 8
08|0 0 0 3 3
07|7 8 8
07|0 0 2 3 3
06|7 7
06|3
05|5 7 7 7
05|3
04|
04|0
03|7
03|
 

Exam Five Distribution

  Everyone who did the bonus question received full credit (3 points) for it.  Most people did.  At least one person received full credit on each question (1, 2a & 2b), but nobody received full credit on every question.  The highest grade was 27.5%.  Here is the distribution:

11|
11|0
10|5 5 5
10|2 2 3
 9|5 5 8
 9|2 3
 8|5 8 8
 8|2
 7|8 8 8 8 8 8
 7|2
 6|5 8
 6|2 3
 5|
 5|2
 4|
 4|2
 3|
 3|
 2|
 2|
 1|
 1|
 0|
 0|
 

Fall 1997 Grades by Section:

    These are, of necessity, unofficial grades.  However, they have been copied via the clipboard directly from the Excel workbook I used to compute them to this HTML file.  As a result, there should be no inaccuracies.  Please let me know if you think that there is an error in the calculation of the grade resulting in a lower grade than you should have received.  (Grades lower than wanted need not be brought to my attention.)

     Grades are listed below separately by section.  The number under "Code" is your secret identification number.  The number under "T5raw" is your raw score on examination five.  The number under "T5pct" is your percentage grade on the examination, including the bonus question and extra credit.  The highest grade was 27.5%, so the "hard test" adjustment explained in class was applied.  The percent under "Course" is your final grade in the course.  "Letter" gives the letter grade reported to the registrar.

Spring 1998 Section 05 Grades:

See above for explanation.
SEC5                            

Code    T5raw   T5pct   Course  Letter

8506    0       --      81.7%   B-

6949    0       --      48.8%   F

3042    0       --      102.5%  A

4576    16      62%     58.8%   F

3981    0       --      2.1%    W

6943    17      78%     82.9%   B-

8245    0       --      97.5%   A

2147    0       --      105.0%  A

7718    23      98%     94.2%   A

3690    18      78%     89.2%   B+

9074    0       --      94.6%   A

1145    0       --      72.1%   C-

9670    0       --      20.4%   W

9221    0       --      107.9%  A

3486    0       --      102.5%  A

2588    0       --      96.7%   A

9836    22.5    93%     71.7%   C-

1524    0       --      103.3%  A

4135    0       --      16.3%   W

6757    10      52%     73.8%   C

4506    24      102%    87.1%   B+

8559    0       --      11.3%   F

5310    0       --      79.6%   C+

6809    0       --      85.4%   B

0563    22      95%     87.5%   B+

8944    0       --      108.3%  A

7886    10      42%     87.1%   B+

2631    0       --      92.9%   A-

1088    26      105%    88.8%   B+

2941    18      78%     75.4%   C

3753    0       --      94.2%   A

8720    21      88%     86.3%   B

8762    0       --      97.5%   A

5341    18      68%     69.6%   D+

6374    27.5    110%    79.2%   C+
Fall 1997 Section 09 Grades:
See above for explanation.
SEC9                            

Code    T5raw   T5pct   Course  Letter

3145    0       --      97.5%   A

5028    0       --      98.3%   A

0852    0       --      93.8%   A

6477    14      65%     67.1%   D+

2284    0       --      2.1%    W

5536    0       --      95.0%   A

9884    19      82%     72.5%   C-

4682    0       --      83.3%   B

5826    0       --      2.1%    W

4749    0       --      --      WU

1006    0       --      91.7%   A-

5257    24      105%    102.5%  A

1976    0       --      43.8%   F

8415    21      88%     75.4%   C

3614    24      103%    80.0%   B-

1762    3       78%     82.1%   B-

7428    0       --      102.9%  A

5282    3       92%     76.7%   C

4164    0       --      95.4%   A

7427    3       63%     65.8%   D

2773    3       85%     72.1%   C-

0312    0       --      73.3%   C

1120    17      78%     84.2%   B

7321    0       --      92.5%   A-

5841    16      72%     77.9%   C+

2368    0       --      101.7%  A

5842    0       --      90.0%   A-

8879    0       --      50.0%   F

5029    18      78%     82.5%   B-

3711    25      102%    84.6%   B

6929    23      95%     82.9%   B-

8691    0       --      95.0%   A

5160    24      105%    97.5%   A

6493    0       --      4.6%    W

9487    0       --      81.7%   B-

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